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Ohio turkey outlooks: likely to hinge on older gobblers, toms
Athens, Ohio â The majority of Ohio turkeys killed during the spring season will most likely be older birds, says a Buckeye State biologist in charge of the turkey population.
Mike Reynolds, the DNRâDivision of Wildlifeâs turkey guru, said 4-year-old birds will make up the most of he spring turkey kills.
âThe turkey seasons are based on hatches,â Reynolds said. âTo give you the short history, 2008 was a great hatch. We will probably have some 4-year-old birds out there from that hatch. Especially since last year was so wet and rainy, it probably impacted both harvest and hunting pressure. Some of those birds that would have been shot last year probably made it.â
Subsequent hatches, particularly in 2009, showed record poor production, Reynolds said. Those birds would be 3-year-olds this year, but there probably wonât be a lot of them. A better hatch occurred in 2010, but it was still below average.
âSo, thereâs probably going to be some 2-year-oldâs out there â not as many as we would like â and obviously they do the majority of the gobbling. They make your season. If you have a lot of 2-year-oldâs, you can have a really high quality turkey hunt,â Reynolds said.
In 2011, the hatch was again poor, meaning there wonât be a lot of jakes on the landscape.
âThe only thing I can say for sure is that later in the summer, in July and August, we were getting a number of reports of small size broods,â Reynolds said. âWhat weâre taking from that is the record flooding and rainfall (in 2011) probably did cause a fairly substantial renesting event with some successful hatches off renests. So, the availability of jakes is probably going to be localized.â
Reynolds expects an overall kill of about 20,000 gobblers in the best of circumstances.
âBut, being conservative, I would expect us to be right around that 18,000 mark,â he said. âAnd, Iâwouldnât be surprised if itâs even a little bit lower.â
In 2010, Ohio experienced its second highest harvest on record, 23,421.
âThose primarily were the 2-year-olds from the 2008 hatch,â Reynolds said. âThatâs why we expected a little higher kill last year. We typically see several years of carryover after a hatch like that. But, (last springâs) weather really put a damper on that.â
Reynolds expects this yearâs killed birds to have long beards and long spurs, both products of gobbler age.
âBut, whether we get the numbers up around 20,000 I just donât know.â
On a regional basis, Reynolds said he expects the western Ohio turkey population is still growing.
âMost of the counties (in western Ohio) still show steadily increasing numbers of harvest,â he said.
In eastern Ohio, the population is best broken down by region. East central Ohio is still very strong in its population numbers. Somewhat surprisingly, southeastern Ohio over the past decade has shown declines, Reynolds said.
âI think habitat is really stagnant in southeastern Ohio,â he said. âWe have a lot of mature woodlands and not a lot of good brood habitat. Weâre trying to address that. We have a partnership with the National Wild Turkey Federation. We have a contract with them to help private land biologists in helping to provide habitat recommendations to private land owners for wild turkeys.â
Reynolds said he is particularly looking forward to 2016 when the turkey hatch will coincide with a cicada hatch, which should provide excellent numbers of turkeys. The last time that happened, in 1999, the turkey hatch was exceptional, Reynolds said.
âThe brood survival is incredible in those cicada years,â the biologist said.
How does predation affect a turkey hatch?
âCoyotes certainly have an impact,ââReynolds said. âWithout having hard evidence, I suspect that coyotes have an effect on on-the-ground gobbling activity. Gobbling on the roost is probably unimpeded. But, when those birds hit the ground… maybe weâre hearing less gobbling on the ground than in past decades.â
Coyotes almost certainly play a role in on-the-ground gobbling, Reynolds said.
âI get dozens of reports each year about turkey hunters calling up coyotes, so obviously coyotes are responding to the calling,ââhe said. âIf youâre a mature tom and every time you gobble a coyote is stalking you, over time you might see a reduction in gobbling activity… Predation is much more of an issue for hens. Nesting season is a dangerous time to be a hen turkey.â
The key, however, to good turkey populations, still lies in the annual hatch.
âA couple of good hatches make all problems go away in the wild turkey world,ââReynolds said.
Ohioâs turkey season opens April 23 and runs through May 20.
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